Manchester City Manchester United
19 Apr 2017

Does Form “Go Out the Window” on Derby Day?

Next week is the big Manchester Derby. A match in which victory for either team will strengthen their push for a Top 4 finish. A match which pits arguably the two most respected managers on the planet against each other again. A match which could see £600 MILLION worth of

Manchester United Marcus Rashford
16 Apr 2017

Second Season Syndrome

After Manchester United’s 1-1 draw with Everton, Jose Mourinho was asked about Marcus Rashford’s form… ““It is not a surprise in the second year. One day I will try to find out if it happened with Ryan Giggs or one of those guys.” Don’t worry Jose! I’m on it! This

30 Mar 2017

Grinding Out a Result: The Numbers Behind One-Goal Victories

Grinding out a result is the hallmark of champions according to many football observers. That ability to eke out a win by the odd goal when not playing as well as expected, or perhaps even warranted, is what separates title winners from title also-rans. Leicester City were the masters of

Champions League Leicester City
28 Mar 2017

How Remarkable is Leicester City’s European Run?

It was probably around mid-March time last year that people started coming round to the idea that Leicester City could actually win the Premier League title. Well, 12 months on, and this time people are coming round to the idea that Leicester City could actually win the Champions League. The

07 Mar 2017

He’s Come Back To Haunt Them

“Frank Lampard close to tears and lost for words after scoring the equaliser he didn’t expect for Manchester City against Chelsea.” (Daily Mail Online Headline: September 21st, 2014). All Chelsea fans will remember it. Most football fans probably do too. After scoring 147 Premier League goals for Chelsea, the legendary

Chelsea FC N'Golo Kante
22 Feb 2017

There’s only one N’Golo Kante…though Zlatan’s not bad either!

A lot has been written about N’Golo Kante over the past 12 months. Since arriving to England as pretty much an unknown quantity, he has gone on to prove instrumental in Leicester City’s shock title triumph last season, and now Chelsea’s soon-to-be coronation as champions this season. The statistics showing

Chelsea FC N'Golo Kante
14 Feb 2017

Togga Mismatches: Calculating Under-valued and Over-valued Players

I’m sure I’m not the only one for which the line between the Togga world and real life can sometimes become a blurred one. Time and again I find myself engaged in heated debates with friends over the abilities of certain players…baffled that they would somehow pick Petr Cech over

FPL Stats
08 Feb 2017

A Statistical Analysis of My Togga League – Part 2

Last week I presented a statistical analysis of my own Togga league featuring insights into how a number of aspects – such as draft order, stacking, and trade frequency – may (or may not) influence team performance (this can be found here for anyone who hasn’t read it). There was

Transfer Deadline Day
03 Feb 2017

Good EPL Teams Don’t Buy in January…But They Should!

Finally, the annual anti-climax that is the January Transfer Window is now over. After weeks of exciting rumours, the biggest deals that came IN to the Premier League were that of a 19 year old Brazilian destined to spend the season on the bench*, a Manchester United-reject sent to resurrect

FPL Stats
28 Jan 2017

A Statistical Analysis of My Togga League – Part 1

Most of my articles involve statistically analysing real-world football data to try and answer common footballing questions. Whilst (I hope!) these are interesting, they don’t often have much relevance to Togga strategy. That changes today. This article – and the next one – involve a statistical analysis of my own